Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year

Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices


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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel organization for the third time this year due to falling costs and likewise decreased its expected sales volumes, sending out the company's share price down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the rate of regular diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has actually created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated average similar sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually forecasted considering that the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.


"Renewable items' prices have actually been negatively affected by a significant reduction in (the) diesel cost throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not reduced and sustainable product market cost premiums have actually remained weak," the business included.


Industry executives and analysts have actually stated rapidly broadening Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly growth strategies in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)


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